ZIP code 37201 covers the Downtown Nashville; high demand from young professionals drawn to healthcare and music industry employment. On the median price and the HUD rent, 37201 does not cash flow at 20% down. That is a legitimate position to take on an appreciation thesis, but it should be a decision rather than a surprise — the shortfall, the break-even rent and the appreciation needed to justify it are all quantified below.
This page works the numbers end to end: what a median-priced property costs to buy, what HUD says a 2-bedroom rents for, and what that combination produces as cap rate, monthly cash flow, cash-on-cash return and break-even rent at current financing.
Market Statistics
What It Costs to Buy in 37201
At $475,000 with 20% down you need $109,250 in cash — a $95,000 deposit plus about $14,250 of closing costs at 3% — and finance $380,000. At 7.0% over 30 years that is $2,528/month in principal and interest before a single operating cost.
Income and Operating Expenses
HUD's 2-bedroom Fair Market Rent for 37201 is $1,850/month, or $22,200 a year gross. Applying 7% vacancy, 9% management, 1% of value for maintenance, 0.5% for insurance and 1% for property tax:
Returns at 20% Down
| Metric | Value | What It Means |
|---|---|---|
| Gross yield | 4.67% | Rent before any costs, as a share of price |
| Cap rate | 1.46% | Unlevered return after operating costs |
| Monthly cash flow | -$1,952 | After debt service at 7.0% |
| Cash-on-cash | -21.44% | Return on the $109,250 actually invested |
| DSCR | 0.23× | Lenders typically want 1.25× or better |
| Gross rent multiplier | 21.4 | Price divided by annual rent |
| Break-even rent | $4,157/mo | Rent needed to cover everything |
On these assumptions a median-priced property in 37201 runs $1,952 a month negative at 20% down — the rent does not cover the loan plus operating costs. It is well short of both the 1% rule and the 0.7% modern screen, at 0.39% of price in monthly rent. Raising the deposit to 30% cuts the payment to $2,212/month and moves cash flow to -$1,636/month on $156,750 of cash invested, a -12.52% cash-on-cash return.
Rate Sensitivity
Nothing on this page moves the result as hard as the mortgage rate. Holding rent and price fixed:
| Mortgage Rate | P+I Payment | Monthly Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | $2,278/mo | -$1,702/mo |
| 7.0% | $2,528/mo | -$1,952/mo |
| 8.0% | $2,788/mo | -$2,212/mo |
What Has to Be True for 37201 to Work
A median-priced rental in 37201 consumes $23,424 a year in cash at 20% down. That does not automatically make it a bad purchase: the same loan repays $3,860 of principal in the first twelve months, so the real first-year drag is closer to $19,564. For the deal to break even on cash alone the property must appreciate 4.93% a year. Over a five-year hold, amortisation by itself builds $22,300 of equity while you fund roughly $117,120 of cumulative shortfall — so the honest question about 37201 is whether you can carry it that long, not whether the rent covers the mortgage. It does not.
Where 37201 Sits Among Covered ZIPs
Of the 10 ZIP codes profiled on this site, 37201 ranks 6th by gross rental yield and 6th most expensive by median sale price. A 30-day median time on market classifies it as a warm market, which sets how much negotiating room a buyer realistically has on the entry price used in every calculation above.
The ZIP codes closest to 37201 on yield are 33101 Miami (5.08%), 97201 Portland (4.24%), 28201 Charlotte (5.14%). Those are the fairer comparison set: a yield gap against a market with a different price level, tax rate and tenant profile tells you very little.
37201 vs the Nashville, TN Metro
The wider Nashville, TN market has a median sale price of $415,000, a 5.0% gross yield, 35 days on market and an affordability index of 78 against a $72,800 median household income. At $475,000, 37201 trades at a 14% premium to its metro median, and its 4.67% yield is below the metro's 5.0%. Full metro detail is in the Nashville, TN market report.